Armenia's Macroeconomic Analysis:
Nominal GDP of USD 24.1 billion in 2023.
Nominal GDP of USD 19.5 billion in 2022.
GDP per capita of USD 6,589 compared to the global average of USD 10,589.
GDP per capita of USD 8,131 compared to the global average of USD 10,589.
Average real GDP growth of 4.6% over the last decade.
Average real GDP growth of 4.5% over the last decade.
Sector Analysis
In 2021, services accounted for 62% of overall GDP, manufacturing 11%, other industrial activity 16%, and agriculture 11%. Looking at GDP by expenditure, private consumption accounted for 72% of GDP in 2021, government consumption 16%, fixed investment 20%, and net exports -8%.International trade
In 2021, manufactured products made up 23% of total merchandise exports, mineral fuels 2%, food 31%, ores and metals 40% and agricultural raw materials 0%, with other categories accounting for 4% of the total. In the same period, manufactured products made up 60% of total merchandise imports, mineral fuels 17%, food 17%, ores and metals 2% and agricultural raw materials 1%, with other goods accounting for 3% of the total. Total exports were worth USD 6 billion in 2022, while total imports were USD 8 billion.Main Economic Indicators
Economic growthThe economy recorded average annual growth of 4.5% in the decade to 2022. To read more about GDP growth in Armenia, go to our dedicated page.
Fiscal policy
Armenia's fiscal deficit averaged 3.1% of GDP in the decade to 2022. Find out more on our dedicated page.
Unemployment
The unemployment rate averaged 17.6% in the decade to 2022. For more information on Armenia's unemployment click here.
Inflation
Inflation averaged 3.2% in the decade to 2022. Go to our Armenia inflation page for extra insight.
Monetary Policy
Armenia's monetary policy rate ended 2022 at 10.75%, up from 8.00% a decade earlier. See our Armenia monetary policy page for additional details.
Exchange Rate
From end-2012 to end-2022 the dram strengthened by 2% vs the U.S. dollar. For more info on the dram, click here.
Economic situation in Armenia
Annual economic growth slowed to 5.2% in Q3 (Q2: +6.4% yoy), marking the softest expansion in three years. Domestically, public spending fell nearly 25% in Q3, outweighing the contributions of stronger growth in private spending and fixed investment. Externally, exports growth slowed sharply, as Russia banned Armenian agricultural imports from July in retaliation for the latter’s efforts to reorient trade westwards. Shifting to Q4, the economy is likely benefiting from ongoing monetary easing and lower inflation in October than in Q3. In other news, the Armenian and Azerbaijani authorities met during the October BRICS summit and initiated fast-track peace negotiations, boding well for a comprehensive peace deal. In the same month, Azerbaijan agreed to connect its territories via railway through Iran as an alternative to the Zangezur Corridor, which would pass through Armenia.Armenia Economic Forecasts
Projections out to 2034.45 indicators covered including both annual and quarterly frequencies.
Consensus Forecasts based on a panel of 11 expert analysts.
Want to get insight on the economic outlook for Armenia in the coming years? FocusEconomics collects projections out to 2034 on 45 economic indicators for Armenia from a panel of 11 analysts at the leading national, regional and global forecast institutions. These projections are then validated by our in-house team of economists and data analysts, and averaged to provide one Consensus Forecast you can rely on for each indicator. This means you avoid the risk of relying on out of date, biased or outlier forecasts. Our Consensus Forecasts can be visualized in whichever way best suits your needs, including via interactive online dashboards , direct data delivery and executive-style reports which combine analysts' projections with timely written analysis from our in-house team of economists on the latest developments in the Armenia economy. To download a sample report on the Armenia's economy, click here. To get in touch with our team for more information, fill in the form at the bottom of this page.