The skyline in Ethiopia

Ethiopia Economy

Ethiopia's economy in numbers:

Nominal GDP of USD 119.0 billion in 2021.

Nominal GDP of USD 120.4 billion in 2021.

GDP per capita of USD 1,156 compared to the global average of USD 10,589.

GDP per capita of USD 1,143 compared to the global average of USD 10,589.

Average real GDP growth of 7.6% over the last decade.

Average real GDP growth of 8.4% over the last decade.

Share of the region's population
Share of the region's GDP

Economic structure:

In 2021, services accounted for 41% of overall GDP, manufacturing 5%, other industrial activity 16%, and agriculture 38%. Looking at GDP by expenditure, private consumption accounted for 72% of GDP in 2021, government consumption 9%, fixed investment 28%, and net exports -9%.

GDP by economic sector
GDP by type of expenditure

International trade:

In 2020, manufactured products made up 13% of total merchandise exports, mineral fuels 0%, food 78%, ores and metals 0% and agricultural raw materials 9%, with other categories accounting for 0% of the total. In the same period, manufactured products made up 68% of total merchandise imports, mineral fuels 12%, food 18%, ores and metals 1% and agricultural raw materials 1%, with other goods accounting for 0% of the total. Total exports were worth USD 4 billion in 2022, while total imports were USD 19 billion.

Key exports
Key imports
Key export partners
Key import partners

Economic growth:

The economy recorded average annual growth of 8.4% in the decade to 2021. To read more about GDP growth in Ethiopia, go to our dedicated page.

Fiscal policy:

Ethiopia's fiscal deficit averaged 2.6% of GDP in the decade to 2021. Find out more on our dedicated page.

Unemployment:

The unemployment rate averaged 3.0% in the decade to 2022. For more information on Ethiopia's unemployment click here.

Inflation:

Inflation averaged 16.1% in the decade to 2022. Go to our Ethiopia inflation page for extra insight.

Monetary Policy:

Ethiopia's monetary policy rate ended 2022 at 7.00%, down from 7.50% a decade earlier. See our Ethiopia monetary policy page for additional details.

Exchange Rate:

From end-2012 to end-2022 the birr weakened by 65.7% vs the U.S. dollar. For more info on the birr, click here.
GDP likely grew at a faster pace in FY 2023 (8 July 2023–7 July 2024) than in FY 2022 thanks to stronger momentum in the services sector and increased public spending. However, conflict in the Amhara and Oromia regions likely capped the overall upturn. Turning to FY 2024, the economy is benefitting from IMF funding and pro-market reforms. That said, regional conflicts remain a drag on activity. In other news, Ethiopia is mulling the issuance of bonds worth USD 7.4 billion to settle debts owed by state-run companies. Meanwhile, the country is seeking to raise USD 255 million selling shares in a state-run telco. This would mark the first IPO in Ethiopia’s history and lay the foundations for a stock exchange. Lastly, Fitch Ratings recently upgraded the country’s local-currency rating to ‘CCC+’ but affirmed its foreign-currency ‘RD’ rating due to its default on USD 1 billion in Eurobonds.
Projections out to 2034.

34 indicators covered including both annual and quarterly frequencies.

Consensus Forecasts based on a panel of 10 expert analysts.

Want to get insight on the economic outlook for Ethiopia in the coming years? FocusEconomics collects projections out to 2034 on 34 economic indicators for Ethiopia from a panel of 10 analysts at the leading national, regional and global forecast institutions. These projections are then validated by our in-house team of economists and data analysts, and averaged to provide one Consensus Forecast you can rely on for each indicator. This means you avoid the risk of relying on out of date, biased or outlier forecasts. Our Consensus Forecasts can be visualized in whichever way best suits your needs, including via interactive online dashboards , direct data delivery and executive-style reports which combine analysts' projections with timely written analysis from our in-house team of economists on the latest developments in the Ethiopia economy. To download a sample report on the Ethiopia's economy, click here. To get in touch with our team for more information, fill in the form at the bottom of this page.

Ethiopia Economic Data

2019 2020 2021 2022 2023
Population (million) 99.7 101.9 104.1 105.7 107.4
GDP (USD bn) 96.6 99.3 119.0 159.7 -
GDP per Capita (USD) 969 974 1,143 1,511 -
GDP (ETB bn) 3,374 4,341 6,158 8,722 -
Economic Growth (Nominal GDP, ann. var. %) 25.4 28.7 41.8 41.7 -
Economic Growth (Real GDP, ann. var. %) 6.1 5.6 5.3 2.7 -
Fiscal Balance (% of GDP) -2.8 -2.8 -4.2 -2.6 -
Public Debt (% of GDP) 53.7 53.8 46.9 38.7 -
Money (ann. var. of M2 %) 20.5 23.9 23.9 33.3 18.7
Inflation (CPI, ann. var. %, eop) 19.6 18.2 35.1 33.8 28.7
Inflation (CPI, ann. var. %, aop) 15.8 20.3 26.9 33.9 30.2
Minimum Lending Rate (%, eop) 7.00 7.00 7.00 7.00 7.00
Exchange Rate (ETB per USD, eop) 32.00 38.00 49.20 53.57 56.32
Exchange Rate (ETB per USD, aop) 29.24 34.91 43.77 51.94 54.77
Current Account Balance (USD bn) -4.4 -3.2 -5.1 -4.6 -
Current Account Balance (% of GDP) -4.6 -3.2 -4.3 -2.9 -
Merchandise Trade Balance (USD bn) -11.8 -9.9 -12.0 -14.7 -13.6
Merchandise Exports (USD bn) 2.7 3.3 3.9 4.0 3.5
Merchandise Imports (USD bn) 14.6 13.1 16.0 18.7 17.1
Merchandise Exports (ann. var. %) 1.5 18.8 20.5 1.1 -12.5
Merchandise Imports (ann. var. %) -4.9 -9.9 21.8 16.9 -8.7
Foreign Direct Investment (USD bn) 2.5 2.4 4.3 3.7 3.3
International Reserves (USD bn) 3.0 3.0 - - -
International Reserves (months of imports) 2.5 2.8 - - -
External Debt (USD bn) 30.4 30.0 28.6 28.6 -
External Debt (% of GDP) 31.4 30.2 24.0 - -

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