Korea Economic Outlook
Asian dynamo:
South Korea, officially the Republic of Korea, stands as a beacon of economic success in Asia. With a GDP of USD 1.8 trillion, it stands as the fourth largest economy in the region, only trailing much more populous neighbors China, Japan and India. South Korea has transformed itself from a war-torn country to among the world's richest and most advanced nations in only a few decades. This growth can be attributed to a combination of factors, including export-oriented policies, government-led industrialization strategies, and sustained investments in education and technology.
High-tech hub:Today, South Korea is one of the world's main producers of electronics, semiconductors, and automobiles, and many of the company's firms are household names. Together with Taiwan's TSMC, Korea's Samsung produces the globe's most advanced chips, which are in increasing demand in an era of ever-rising digitalization. The Korean car firms Hyundai and Kia export automobiles around the world, while LG holds a large slice of the electronics market.
Export-oriented economy:South Korea's economy is heavily dependent on international trade, with exports accounting for close to half of GDP. This makes the economy vulnerable to volatility in external demand and global trade flows. China and the U.S. are the country's major trade partners.
Challenges:Society is aging rapidly, the fertility rate is currently the lowest in the world, and the population is declining. All three factors are weighing on private spending and putting pressure on fiscal resources, and they will do so increasingly in the coming years. Moreover, tensions with North Korea are a risk, as is a regional military conflict between China and the U.S.—most likely over the status of Taiwan. Elevated household debt is another factor to watch, as it could pose risks to financial stability. The country faces the need to reduce economic inequality and encourage greater competition in the economy. Finally, Chinese manufacturers could trim Korea's market share in global markets for cars, chips and electronics.
South Korea's economic outlook:Growth in the coming years will be above that experienced in most other advanced economies, aided by South Korea's privileged position at the forefront of several high-tech industries and surrounded by dynamic, fast-growing Asian economies. However, unfavorable demographics will exert an increasing drag on activity.
Korea's Macroeconomic Analysis:
Nominal GDP of USD 1,838 billion in 2023.
Nominal GDP of USD 1,673 billion in 2022.
GDP per capita of USD 32,409 compared to the global average of USD 10,589.
GDP per capita of USD 35,614 compared to the global average of USD 10,589.
Average real GDP growth of 2.7% over the last decade.
Average real GDP growth of 2.6% over the last decade.
Sector Analysis
In 2021, services accounted for 66% of overall GDP, manufacturing 25%, other industrial activity 7%, and agriculture 2%. Looking at GDP by expenditure, private consumption accounted for 46% of GDP in 2021, government consumption 18%, fixed investment 32%, and net exports 4%.International trade
In 2020, manufactured products made up 90% of total merchandise exports, mineral fuels 5%, food 2%, ores and metals 3% and agricultural raw materials 1%, with other categories accounting for -1% of the total. In the same period, manufactured products made up 66% of total merchandise imports, mineral fuels 19%, food 7%, ores and metals 7% and agricultural raw materials 1%, with other goods accounting for 0% of the total. Total exports were worth USD 633 billion in 2023, while total imports were USD 643 billion.Main Economic Indicators
Economic growthSouth Korea's GDP growth over the last decade was robust, driven by strong tech exports and proximity to dynamic emerging markets such as ASEAN, China and India. The COVID-19 pandemic led to a temporary setback in 2020, but a swift recovery followed, underpinned by strong technology sectors and effective pandemic management. South Korea's growth trajectory reflected its successful transition to a high-value, innovation-driven economy. To read more about GDP growth in Korea, go to our dedicated page.
Fiscal policy
The Republic of Korea maintained a relatively sound fiscal position from 2013 to 2019, with moderate deficits. However, the COVID-19 pandemic led to increased fiscal spending to support the economy, resulting in a larger deficit. By 2022, as the economy recovered, the government began focusing on fiscal normalization, aiming to balance economic support measures with the longer-term goal of fiscal sustainability. Find out more on our dedicated page.
Unemployment
The Republic of Korea's unemployment rate over the last decade was muted by global and developed economy standards. The COVID-19 pandemic caused a brief increase in unemployment, but South Korea's effective response and economic recovery measures led to a quick rebound. By 2022, the unemployment rate was back to below pre-pandemic levels, demonstrating the strength of South Korea's job market. For more information on Korea's unemployment click here.
Inflation
The Republic of Korea maintained moderate inflation rates over the last decade, averaging around 2%. Inflation was notably below this threshold in the years before the COVID-19 pandemic, and surged in 2021 and 2022 on economic recovery, supply constraints and high commodity prices. That said, inflation in 2022 was still below the OECD average. Inflation came down in 2023 thanks to successive rate hikes by the Central Bank. Go to our Korea inflation page for extra insight.
Monetary Policy
South Korea's central bank policy rate declined from 2014 to 2020 in order to stimulate growth and inflation. Post-pandemic, there was a gradual shift towards higher interest rates in order to tame above-target price pressures. See our Korea monetary policy page for additional details.
Exchange Rate
The South Korean won experienced periods of depreciation over the last decade, particularly during times of global economic uncertainty, but also saw phases of appreciation, reflecting South Korea's robust export sector and the government's sound economic management. The currency depreciated overall against the U.S. dollar in the decade to 2023, reflecting relatively more aggressive monetary tightening by the U.S. Federal Reserve. For more info on the won, click here.
Economic situation in Korea
GDP rose by 0.1% in Q3, contrasting a 0.2% drop in Q2 but below market forecasts. Stronger domestic demand was partially negated by weaker exports, amid production line maintenance and labor strikes in the automobile sector. The economy had a weak start to Q4, with economic activity decreasing by 0.3% month on month in October due to reduced construction and public administration output. In politics, the President declared martial law in early December before swiftly reverting the decision and then faced efforts by Parliament to impeach him as a result. The ensuing political uncertainty could dampen private consumption and investment somewhat and speed up monetary easing by the Central Bank. Moreover, the chances of a snap election before the end of the current president’s term in 2027 have risen notably.Korea Economic Forecasts
Projections out to 2034.49 indicators covered including both annual and quarterly frequencies.
Consensus Forecasts based on a panel of 32 expert analysts.
Want to get insight on the economic outlook for Korea in the coming years? FocusEconomics collects projections out to 2034 on 49 economic indicators for Korea from a panel of 32 analysts at the leading national, regional and global forecast institutions. These projections are then validated by our in-house team of economists and data analysts, and averaged to provide one Consensus Forecast you can rely on for each indicator. This means you avoid the risk of relying on out of date, biased or outlier forecasts. Our Consensus Forecasts can be visualized in whichever way best suits your needs, including via interactive online dashboards , direct data delivery and executive-style reports which combine analysts' projections with timely written analysis from our in-house team of economists on the latest developments in the Korea economy. To download a sample report on the Korea's economy, click here. To get in touch with our team for more information, fill in the form at the bottom of this page.
Korea Economic Indicators
Q&A:
What kind of economy does South Korea have?
Why is South Korea's economy so strong?
What is the trend in the economy of South Korea?
South Korea has a mixed economy, characterized by a combination of free-market and government intervention. It's heavily reliant on international trade and is known for its major conglomerates like Samsung and Hyundai. The economy is also supported by robust technology, automobile, shipbuilding, and consumer electronics industries.
South Korea's economy is strong due to its focus on high-tech industries, extensive education system, significant investment in research and development, and a highly skilled workforce. Additionally, the presence of global conglomerates like Samsung and Hyundai and a strong export sector contribute to its economic strength.
The South Korean economy is expected to slow down in 2023 due to global headwinds such as rising interest rates, supply chain disruptions, and the war in Ukraine. However, the economy is still projected to grow; the government is implementing measures to support growth, such as fiscal stimulus and infrastructure investments.