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Philippines Trade November 2018

Philippines: Exports fall in November; trade deficit remains elevated near record high

Merchandise export growth contracted 0.3% in annual terms in November, swinging from the upwardly revised 5.5% expansion registered in October (previously reported: +3.3% year-on-year). The dip was primarily driven by a drop in electronic products exports (November: -1.6% yoy; October: +0.6% yoy)— which account for more than half of total export revenue —due to weaker semiconductor shipments. A sharp contraction in chemical exports also contributed to the decline.

Import growth continued to far outpace that of exports, despite slowing to an eight-month low in November. Imports rose 6.8% in annual terms, a far cry from the 21.4% surge logged in October. Imports of raw materials and intermediate goods; capital goods; and fuels all climbed higher in the month driven by the government’s infrastructure investment push.

All told, the merchandise trade deficit widened to USD 3.9 billion in November from the USD 3.3 billion deficit registered in the same month of the previous year, however it was down from the revised USD 4.1 billion deficit recorded in October 2018 (previously reported: USD 4.2 billion).

Philippines Trade Balance Forecast

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