Zambia's Macroeconomic Analysis:
Nominal GDP of USD 27.6 billion in 2023.
Nominal GDP of USD 29.1 billion in 2022.
GDP per capita of USD 1,454 compared to the global average of USD 10,589.
GDP per capita of USD 1,340 compared to the global average of USD 10,589.
Average real GDP growth of 3.6% over the last decade.
Average real GDP growth of 3.6% over the last decade.
Sector Analysis
In 2021, services accounted for 50% of overall GDP, manufacturing 9%, other industrial activity 38%, and agriculture 3%. Looking at GDP by expenditure, private consumption accounted for 38% of GDP in 2021, government consumption 15%, fixed investment 32%, and net exports 15%.International trade
In 2020, manufactured products made up 10% of total merchandise exports, mineral fuels 2%, food 8%, ores and metals 79% and agricultural raw materials 1%, with other categories accounting for 0% of the total. In the same period, manufactured products made up 77% of total merchandise imports, mineral fuels 10%, food 9%, ores and metals 4% and agricultural raw materials 1%, with other goods accounting for -1% of the total. Total exports were worth USD 12 billion in 2022, while total imports were USD 8 billion.Main Economic Indicators
Economic growthThe economy recorded average annual growth of 3.6% in the decade to 2022. To read more about GDP growth in Zambia, go to our dedicated page.
Fiscal policy
Zambia's fiscal deficit averaged 7.7% of GDP in the decade to 2022. Find out more on our dedicated page.
Unemployment
The unemployment rate averaged 7.1% in the decade to 2022. For more information on Zambia's unemployment click here.
Inflation
Inflation averaged 11.0% in the decade to 2022. Go to our Zambia inflation page for extra insight.
Monetary Policy
Zambia's monetary policy rate ended 2022 at 9.00%, down from 9.25% a decade earlier. See our Zambia monetary policy page for additional details.
Exchange Rate
From end-2012 to end-2022 the kwacha weakened by 71.4% vs the U.S. dollar. For more info on the kwacha, click here.
Economic situation in Zambia
Severe drought hit the economy in H1, and our panel expects growth to have slowed further since. The drought has limited hydropower generation—which accounts for around 85% of Zambia’s energy supply—at the Kariba Dam, the country’s largest, to only about a tenth of total capacity, driving power outages, thereby limiting households’ daily electricity supply plus curbing output in the agricultural and energy-intensive sectors. The drought also fanned inflation to a three-year high in November, hurting purchasing power and prompting the Central Bank to tighten its stance further. Moreover, survey data suggests stagnant private-sector activity in July–November, and surging energy imports through October likely dented the trade balance. In other news, the IMF preliminary agreed to loan Zambia USD 185.5 million by the end of the year as part of an ongoing financing agreement.Zambia Economic Forecasts
Projections out to 2034.44 indicators covered including both annual and quarterly frequencies.
Consensus Forecasts based on a panel of 14 expert analysts.
Want to get insight on the economic outlook for Zambia in the coming years? FocusEconomics collects projections out to 2034 on 44 economic indicators for Zambia from a panel of 14 analysts at the leading national, regional and global forecast institutions. These projections are then validated by our in-house team of economists and data analysts, and averaged to provide one Consensus Forecast you can rely on for each indicator. This means you avoid the risk of relying on out of date, biased or outlier forecasts. Our Consensus Forecasts can be visualized in whichever way best suits your needs, including via interactive online dashboards , direct data delivery and executive-style reports which combine analysts' projections with timely written analysis from our in-house team of economists on the latest developments in the Zambia economy. To download a sample report on the Zambia's economy, click here. To get in touch with our team for more information, fill in the form at the bottom of this page.