A beach town in Thailand

Thailand Economy

Thailand's Macroeconomic Analysis:

Nominal GDP of USD 495 billion in 2022.

Nominal GDP of USD 515 billion in 2023.

GDP per capita of USD 7,339 compared to the global average of USD 10,589.

GDP per capita of USD 7,070 compared to the global average of USD 10,589.

Average real GDP growth of 2.4% over the last decade.

Average real GDP growth of 1.9% over the last decade.

Share of the region's population
Share of the region's GDP

Sector Analysis

In 2021, services accounted for 57% of overall GDP, manufacturing 27%, other industrial activity 7%, and agriculture 9%. Looking at GDP by expenditure, private consumption accounted for 52% of GDP in 2021, government consumption 18%, fixed investment 29%, and net exports 1%.

GDP by economic sector
GDP by type of expenditure

International trade

In 2020, manufactured products made up 72% of total merchandise exports, mineral fuels 3%, food 14%, ores and metals 2% and agricultural raw materials 4%, with other categories accounting for 5% of the total. In the same period, manufactured products made up 71% of total merchandise imports, mineral fuels 14%, food 8%, ores and metals 4% and agricultural raw materials 1%, with other goods accounting for 2% of the total. Total exports were worth USD 285 billion in 2022, while total imports were USD 272 billion.

Key exports
Key imports
Key export partners
Key import partners

Main Economic Indicators

Economic growth

The economy recorded average annual growth of 2.4% in the decade to 2022. To read more about GDP growth in Thailand, go to our dedicated page.

Fiscal policy

Thailand's fiscal deficit averaged 3.5% of GDP in the decade to 2022. Find out more on our dedicated page.

Unemployment

The unemployment rate averaged 1.1% in the decade to 2022. For more information on Thailand's unemployment click here.

Inflation

Inflation averaged 1.4% in the decade to 2022. Go to our Thailand inflation page for extra insight.

Monetary Policy

Thailand's monetary policy rate ended 2022 at 1.25%, down from 2.75% a decade earlier. See our Thailand monetary policy page for additional details.

Exchange Rate

From end-2012 to end-2022 the baht weakened by 11.6% vs the U.S. dollar. For more info on the baht, click here.

Economic situation in Thailand

In Q3, our panel expects annual GDP growth to have improved from Q2. Available data suggests that investment and the external sector chiefly supported momentum. In July–September, growth in both private investment and goods exports strengthened from Q2, and tourist arrivals continued to expand over 20% year on year. On the flipside, private spending decelerated amid deteriorating consumer confidence, and manufacturing production contracted at a heavier pace compared to Q2. Heading into Q4, our forecast is for a further acceleration in GDP. However, widespread floods due to Typhoon Yagi pose a downside risk to this projection due to their negative impact on price pressures, industrial and agricultural output plus tourist activity. More positively, the first disbursement from the government’s flagship digital cash scheme should be aiding private spending.

Thailand Economic Forecasts

Projections out to 2034.

51 indicators covered including both annual and quarterly frequencies.

Consensus Forecasts based on a panel of 34 expert analysts.

Want to get insight on the economic outlook for Thailand in the coming years? FocusEconomics collects projections out to 2034 on 51 economic indicators for Thailand from a panel of 34 analysts at the leading national, regional and global forecast institutions. These projections are then validated by our in-house team of economists and data analysts, and averaged to provide one Consensus Forecast you can rely on for each indicator. This means you avoid the risk of relying on out of date, biased or outlier forecasts. Our Consensus Forecasts can be visualized in whichever way best suits your needs, including via interactive online dashboards , direct data delivery and executive-style reports which combine analysts' projections with timely written analysis from our in-house team of economists on the latest developments in the Thailand economy. To download a sample report on the Thailand's economy, click here. To get in touch with our team for more information, fill in the form at the bottom of this page.

Thailand Economic Data

2019 2020 2021 2022 2023
Population (million) 69.6 69.8 70.0 70.1 70.2
GDP (USD bn) 544 500 506 496 515
GDP per capita (USD) 7,811 7,165 7,230 7,074 7,339
GDP (THB bn) 16,887 15,650 16,187 17,382 17,925
Economic Growth (Nominal GDP, ann. var. %) 3.2 -7.3 3.4 7.4 3.1
Economic Growth (GDP, ann. var. %) 2.1 -6.1 1.6 2.5 1.9
Domestic Demand (ann. var. %) 3.0 -1.5 1.7 4.1 3.7
Private Consumption (ann. var. %) 4.0 -0.8 0.6 6.2 7.1
Government Consumption (ann. var. %) 1.6 1.4 3.7 0.1 -4.6
Fixed Investment (ann. var. %) 2.0 -4.7 3.1 2.3 1.2
Exports (G&S, ann. var. %) -3.0 -19.7 11.1 6.1 2.1
Imports (G&S, ann. var. %) -5.2 -13.9 17.8 3.6 -2.3
Manufacturing Production (ann. var. %) -3.4 -9.5 8.3 1.3 -3.8
Retail Sales (ann. var. %) 5.1 -9.6 4.7 18.2 4.9
Unemployment (% of active population, aop) 1.0 1.7 1.9 1.3 1.0
Fiscal Balance (% of GDP) -3.0 -5.2 -4.8 -3.5 -3.3
Public Debt (% of GDP) 41.2 52.0 59.6 60.9 61.8
Inflation (CPI, ann. var. %, eop) 0.9 -0.3 2.2 5.9 -0.8
Inflation (CPI, ann. var. %, aop) 0.7 -0.8 1.2 6.1 1.2
Inflation (Core, ann. var. %, aop) 0.5 0.3 0.2 2.5 1.3
Inflation (PPI, ann. var. %, aop) -0.7 -1.6 4.7 10.4 -2.4
1-Day Repurchase Rate (%, eop) 1.25 0.50 0.50 1.25 2.50
3-Month BIBOR (%, eop) 1.37 0.62 0.62 1.45 2.65
10-Year Bond Yield (%, eop) 1.50 1.17 1.95 2.52 2.69
Stock Market (ann. var. of SET %) 1.0 -8.3 14.4 0.7 -15.2
Exchange Rate (THB per USD, eop) 29.95 29.96 33.41 34.64 34.13
Exchange Rate (THB per USD, aop) 31.05 31.29 32.01 35.07 34.80
Current Account Balance (USD bn) 38.3 20.9 -10.7 -17.2 7.4
Current Account Balance (% of GDP) 7.0 4.2 -2.1 -3.5 1.4
Merchandise Trade Balance (USD bn) 26.6 40.5 31.9 13.3 19.6
Merchandise Exports (USD bn) 242.7 226.9 270.7 284.9 281.0
Merchandise Imports (USD bn) 216.0 186.4 238.8 271.6 261.3
Merchandise Exports (ann. var. %) -3.3 -6.5 19.3 5.2 -1.4
Merchandise Imports (ann. var. %) -5.6 -13.7 28.1 13.7 -3.8
Foreign Direct Investment (USD bn) 5.5 -4.9 15.2 11.2 3.1
International Reserves (USD bn) 224 258 246 217 224
International Reserves (months of imports) 12.5 16.6 12.4 9.6 10.3
External Debt (USD bn) 173 190 197 201 197
External Debt (% of GDP) 31.8 38.0 38.9 40.6 38.2

Free Sample Report

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