The skyline in Kenya

Kenia Economic Data & Projections

Kenya's economy in numbers:

Nominal GDP of USD 107.9 billion in 2023.

Nominal GDP of USD 114.3 billion in 2022.

GDP per capita of USD 2,257 compared to the global average of USD 10,589.

GDP per capita of USD 2,094 compared to the global average of USD 10,589.

Average real GDP growth of 4.6% over the last decade.

Average real GDP growth of 4.5% over the last decade.

Share of the region's population
Share of the region's GDP

Economic structure:

In 2021, services accounted for 61% of overall GDP, manufacturing 7%, other industrial activity 10%, and agriculture 22%. Looking at GDP by expenditure, private consumption accounted for 76% of GDP in 2021, government consumption 12%, fixed investment 20%, and net exports -8%.

GDP by economic sector
GDP by type of expenditure

International trade:

In 2021, manufactured products made up 30% of total merchandise exports, mineral fuels 1%, food 48%, ores and metals 6% and agricultural raw materials 15%, with other categories accounting for 0% of the total. In the same period, manufactured products made up 63% of total merchandise imports, mineral fuels 18%, food 16%, ores and metals 1% and agricultural raw materials 2%, with other goods accounting for 0% of the total. Total exports were worth USD 7 billion in 2022, while total imports were USD 19 billion.

Key exports
Key imports
Key export partners
Key import partners

Economic growth:

The economy recorded average annual growth of 4.5% in the decade to 2022. To read more about GDP growth in Kenya, go to our dedicated page.

Fiscal policy:

Kenya's fiscal deficit averaged 6.7% of GDP in the decade to 2022. Find out more on our dedicated page.

Unemployment:

The unemployment rate averaged 4.0% in the decade to 2022. For more information on Kenya's unemployment click here.

Inflation:

Inflation averaged 6.5% in the decade to 2022. Go to our Kenya inflation page for extra insight.

Monetary Policy:

Kenya's monetary policy rate ended 2022 at 8.75%, down from 11.00% a decade earlier. See our Kenya monetary policy page for additional details.

Exchange Rate:

From end-2012 to end-2022 the shilling weakened by 30.2% vs the U.S. dollar. For more info on the shilling, click here.
Annual GDP growth cooled to 4.6% in Q2 (Q1: +5.0% yoy) as slower momentum in the agricultural and services sectors outweighed improvements in manufacturing plus mining and quarrying. In Q3, our panel expects the economy to have picked up; that said, mass protests against a major tax bill continued, disrupting economic activity and forcing the legislation to be scrapped. This U-turn on the bill meant the IMF was unable to greenlight the USD 600 million third tranche of Kenya’s bailout in its mid-September visit. Later in the month, protests resumed after the government decided to award the conglomerate of Indian mogul Adani a 30-year concession to run Kenya’s largest airport. Moreover, Parliament impeached Deputy President Gachagua on 8 October on charges of graft and stirring ethnic hatred, further straining political stability.
Projections out to 2034.

48 indicators covered including both annual and quarterly frequencies.

Consensus Forecasts based on a panel of 14 expert analysts.

Want to get insight on the economic outlook for Kenya in the coming years? FocusEconomics collects projections out to 2034 on 48 economic indicators for Kenya from a panel of 14 analysts at the leading national, regional and global forecast institutions. These projections are then validated by our in-house team of economists and data analysts, and averaged to provide one Consensus Forecast you can rely on for each indicator. This means you avoid the risk of relying on out of date, biased or outlier forecasts. Our Consensus Forecasts can be visualized in whichever way best suits your needs, including via interactive online dashboards , direct data delivery and executive-style reports which combine analysts' projections with timely written analysis from our in-house team of economists on the latest developments in the Kenya economy. To download a sample report on the Kenya's economy, click here. To get in touch with our team for more information, fill in the form at the bottom of this page.

Kenia Datos económicos

2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
Población (millones) 46.5 47.6 48.7 49.8 50.9
PIB (en millones de dólares) 92.2 100.4 100.6 110.3 -
PIB per cápita (USD) 1,983 2,109 2,066 2,215 -
PIB (KES bn) 9,340 10,238 10,716 12,098 -
Crecimiento económico (PIB nominal, var. anual) 10.1 9.6 4.7 12.9 -
Crecimiento económico (PIB, var. anual) 5.6 5.1 -0.3 7.5 -
Demanda interna (% var. anual) 3.7 5.1 -0.9 7.5 -
Consumo privado (% var. anual) 5.1 5.0 -2.6 6.4 -
Consumo público (var. anual) 7.0 5.6 3.0 5.7 -
Inversión fija (% var. anual) -0.4 4.5 2.5 10.9 -
Exportaciones (G&S, % var. anual) 6.8 -3.2 -8.8 12.9 -
Importaciones (G&S, % var. anual) 1.4 1.8 -9.2 18.9 -
Producción industrial (% var. anual) 3.8 4.0 3.3 7.2 -
Saldo fiscal (% del PIB) -6.9 -7.4 -8.1 -8.0 -7.0
Deuda pública (% del PIB) 56.4 59.1 68.0 67.8 69.4
Dinero (var. anual de M2 %) 8.0 5.4 11.9 5.6 5.3
Inflación (IPC, % var. anual, eop) 5.7 7.2 5.6 5.7 9.1
Inflación (IPC, % var. anual, aop) 4.7 5.2 5.4 6.1 7.7
Tipo del Banco Central (%, eop) 9.00 8.50 7.00 7.00 8.75
Mercado de valores (var. anual de NSE %) -23.7 -6.3 -29.6 1.8 -11.9
Tipo de cambio (KES por USD, eop) 101.9 101.4 109.2 113.2 123.4
Tipo de cambio (KES por USD, aop) 101.3 102.0 106.5 109.7 117.9
Balanza por cuenta corriente (en millones de dólares) -4.3 -5.5 -4.6 -6.0 -5.5
Balanza por cuenta corriente (% del PIB) -4.7 -5.5 -4.6 -5.5 -
Balanza comercial de mercancías (en millones de USD) -10.2 -10.7 -8.4 -11.4 -11.8
Exportaciones de mercancías (en millones de dólares) 6.1 5.9 6.1 6.7 7.5
Importaciones de mercancías (en millones de dólares) 16.3 16.6 14.5 18.2 19.2
Exportaciones de mercancías (% var. anual) 5.4 -3.8 3.2 11.0 10.9
Importaciones de mercancías (% var. anual) 2.2 1.3 -12.4 25.4 5.8
Inversión extranjera directa (en millones de dólares) 1.1 1.1 0.7 0.4 -
Reservas internacionales (en millones de dólares) 8.2 9.1 8.3 9.5 8.0
Reservas internacionales (meses de importaciones) 6.0 6.6 6.9 6.3 5.0
Deuda externa (en millones de dólares) 31.4 35.0 38.0 41.2 -
Deuda externa (% del PIB) 34.1 34.8 37.8 37.4 -

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