City in Nigeria

Nigeria Economic Data & Projections

Nigeria's economy in numbers:

Nominal GDP of USD 478 billion in 2022.

Nominal GDP of USD 363 billion in 2023.

GDP per capita of USD 1,636 compared to the global average of USD 10,589.

GDP per capita of USD 2,205 compared to the global average of USD 10,589.

Average real GDP growth of 2.4% over the last decade.

Average real GDP growth of 2.3% over the last decade.

Share of the region's population
Share of the region's GDP

Economic structure:

In 2021, services accounted for 45% of overall GDP, manufacturing 15%, other industrial activity 17%, and agriculture 23%. Looking at GDP by expenditure, private consumption accounted for 62% of GDP in 2021, government consumption 5%, fixed investment 34%, and net exports -1%.

GDP by economic sector
GDP by type of expenditure

International trade:

In 2021, manufactured products made up 6% of total merchandise exports, mineral fuels 89%, food 3%, ores and metals 1% and agricultural raw materials 0%, with other categories accounting for 1% of the total. In the same period, manufactured products made up 53% of total merchandise imports, mineral fuels 31%, food 14%, ores and metals 1% and agricultural raw materials 1%, with other goods accounting for 0% of the total. Total exports were worth USD 64 billion in 2022, while total imports were USD 58 billion.

Key exports
Key imports
Key export partners
Key import partners

Economic growth:

The economy recorded average annual growth of 2.4% in the decade to 2022. To read more about GDP growth in Nigeria, go to our dedicated page.

Fiscal policy:

Nigeria's fiscal deficit averaged 4.1% of GDP in the decade to 2022. Find out more on our dedicated page.

Unemployment:

The unemployment rate averaged 11.3% in the decade to 2018. For more information on Nigeria's unemployment click here.

Inflation:

Inflation averaged 13.0% in the decade to 2022. Go to our Nigeria inflation page for extra insight.

Monetary Policy:

Nigeria's monetary policy rate ended 2022 at 16.50%, up from 12.00% a decade earlier. See our Nigeria monetary policy page for additional details.

Exchange Rate:

From end-2012 to end-2022 the naira weakened by 65.1% vs the U.S. dollar. For more info on the naira, click here.
Our panelists see annual GDP growth below Q2’s level in Q3. The private-sector PMI was stuck in contractionary terrain in Q3. Moreover, in July–August, credit growth cooled and goods exports shrank. On the flip side, oil output rose faster than in Q2 over the same two-month period. In other news, in September, state-owned energy company NNPC reached an agreement with the Dangote refinery: NNPC will provide Dangote with 385,000 barrels of crude per day from October and become the sole distributor of gasoline from the refinery. As a result, the plant should satisfy all domestic demand in the coming months, which will curb depreciatory pressure on the naira. Meanwhile, the World Bank recently approved a USD 1.6 billion loan for healthcare and environmental policies. Less positively, severe floods in September displaced hundreds of thousands and caused heavy infrastructure and crop damage.
Projections out to 2034.

48 indicators covered including both annual and quarterly frequencies.

Consensus Forecasts based on a panel of 21 expert analysts.

Want to get insight on the economic outlook for Nigeria in the coming years? FocusEconomics collects projections out to 2034 on 48 economic indicators for Nigeria from a panel of 21 analysts at the leading national, regional and global forecast institutions. These projections are then validated by our in-house team of economists and data analysts, and averaged to provide one Consensus Forecast you can rely on for each indicator. This means you avoid the risk of relying on out of date, biased or outlier forecasts. Our Consensus Forecasts can be visualized in whichever way best suits your needs, including via interactive online dashboards , direct data delivery and executive-style reports which combine analysts' projections with timely written analysis from our in-house team of economists on the latest developments in the Nigeria economy. To download a sample report on the Nigeria's economy, click here. To get in touch with our team for more information, fill in the form at the bottom of this page.

Nigeria Datos económicos

2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
Población (millones) 196 201 206 211 217
PIB (en millones de dólares) 421 475 430 440 478
PIB per cápita (USD) 2,150 2,364 2,087 2,081 2,206
PIB (NGN bn) 129,087 145,639 154,252 176,076 202,365
Crecimiento económico (PIB nominal, var. anual) 12.3 12.8 5.9 14.1 14.9
Crecimiento económico (PIB, var. anual) 1.9 2.3 -1.9 3.4 3.1
Demanda interna (% var. anual) 7.3 1.0 0.3 15.2 -
Consumo privado (% var. anual) 4.6 -1.1 -1.7 25.6 -
Consumo público (var. anual) 39.9 8.8 61.6 -34.0 -
Inversión fija (% var. anual) 9.7 8.3 -14.7 4.7 -
Exportaciones (G&S, % var. anual) -0.9 15.0 -33.4 -32.1 -
Importaciones (G&S, % var. anual) 49.2 27.3 -61.9 44.4 -
Industria (var. anual %) 1.9 2.3 -5.8 -0.5 -4.6
Producción de petróleo (millones de barriles diarios, aop) 1.92 2.00 1.78 1.60 1.37
Desempleo (% de la población activa, aop) 22.6 - - - -
Saldo fiscal (% del PIB) -4.3 -4.7 -5.6 -6.0 -6.2
Deuda pública (% del PIB) 27.7 29.2 34.5 36.6 37.3
Dinero (var. anual de M2 %) 12.1 6.3 31.4 17.5 16.5
Inflación (IPC, % var. anual, eop) 11.4 12.0 15.8 15.6 21.3
Inflación (IPC, % var. anual, aop) 12.1 11.4 13.2 17.0 18.8
Tipo de política monetaria (%, eop) 14.00 13.50 11.50 11.50 16.50
Mercado de valores (var. anual de NSE %) -18.9 -16.9 39.2 2.3 9.8
Tipo de cambio (NGN por USD, eop) 308 307 381 412 448
Tipo de cambio (NGN por USD, aop) 307 307 359 400 423
Balanza por cuenta corriente (en millones de dólares) 7.3 -13.7 -16.0 -1.8 -
Balanza por cuenta corriente (% del PIB) 1.7 -2.9 -3.7 -0.4 -
Balanza comercial de mercancías (en millones de USD) 20.5 2.9 -16.4 -3.2 -
Exportaciones de mercancías (en millones de dólares) 61.2 65.0 35.9 46.9 -
Importaciones de mercancías (en millones de dólares) 40.8 62.1 52.3 50.1 -
Exportaciones de mercancías (% var. anual) 33.6 6.1 -44.7 30.4 -
Importaciones de mercancías (% var. anual) 24.7 52.4 -15.7 -4.3 -
Inversión extranjera directa (en millones de dólares) 0.8 2.3 2.4 4.8 -
Reservas internacionales (en millones de dólares) 43.1 38.6 35.4 40.5 37.1
Reservas internacionales (meses de importaciones) 12.7 7.5 8.1 9.7 -
Deuda externa (en millones de dólares) 54.2 60.0 70.5 76.2 -
Deuda externa (% del PIB) 12.9 12.6 16.4 17.3 -

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